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The Charles Schwab Challenge 2025 begins on Thursday, May 22, at Colonial Country Club in Fort Worth, Texas. Colonial Country Club (par 70) has hosted the event every year since 1946, serving as the PGA Tour's longest-running non-major tournament played at the same venue.
However, a new-look Colonial was unveiled in 2024, as renowned modern golf architects Gil Hanse and Jim Wagner led a $25 million restoration process following the tournament's conclusion in 2023. While the track remains relatively the same in terms of yardage (7,289 yards), Hans intended to return the course to its original look while also updating necessary fixtures, such as implementing a new irrigation system, adding cleaner sight lines on certain holes, relocating green complexes, removing sand bunkers, and bringing the barrancas into play on nine holes.
Despite the Charles Schwab Challenge falling the week after the PGA Championship, the 136-player field teeing it up features 11 of the top 30 players in the Official World Golf Ranking, led by Dallas natives Scottie Scheffler and Jordan Spieth. Hideki Matsuyama, Tommy Fleetwood, Daniel Berger, Brian Harman, Si Woo Kim, Tom Kim, Robert MacIntyre, and Rickie Fowler are other notable players at Colonial this week.
Last time, Davis Riley (-14) held off World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler by shooting even-par 70 in the final round to win his first individual PGA Tour title. Riley entered Sunday with a four-shot lead, and despite playing alongside Scheffler in the final pairing, he cruised to a five-shot win. Keegan Bradley tied Scheffler for second at 9-under, while Collin Morikawa was fourth at 8-under.
Davis Riley's 2024 stat line: OTT (6th), APP (2nd), ARG (39th), T2G (1st), PUTT (4th), DIST (5th), FW% (38th), GIR (3rd), SCRAMBLING (16th)
Emiliano Grillo's 2023 stat line: OTT (41st), APP (6th), ARG (43rd), T2G (20th), PUTT (2nd), DIST (66th), FW% (25th), GIR (8th), SCRAMBLING (46th)
Sam Burns' 2022 stat line: OTT (6th), APP (12th), ARG (38th), T2G (9th), PUTT (6th), DIST (4th), FW% (38th), GIR (7th), SCRAMBLING (32nd)
Jason Kokrak's 2021 stat line: OTT (1st), APP (8th), ARG (61st), T2G (2nd), PUTT (7th), DIST (1st), FW% (4th), GIR (2nd), SCRAMBLING (42nd)
Let's get into my best bets this week at Colonial Country Club!
BEST OUTRIGHT BETS
Daniel Berger (+2200 Bet365 Enhanced Win)
My golf gambling career began at Colonial Country Club in 2020 right out of COVID, where Daniel Berger defeated Collin Morikawa in a playoff to cash my first outright ticket. Fun times. I owe a tremendous amount to 'DB' for beginning this incredible journey, and he's been on a marvelous run of his own dating back to the WM Phoenix Open in early February, with his T33 finish last week at the PGA Championship being his worst result in the past three months.
Berger checks in at No. 3 in my model this week among all players in the field, ranking 3rd in SG: Approach, 3rd in Total Driving, 5th in Greens Gained, 6th in Proximity 150-175 Yards, 9th in Par-4s: 400-450 Yards, 15th in Proximity 125-150 Yards, 15th in Fairways Gained, and 22nd in SG: Fast Greens over the past 24 rounds. The four-time PGA Tour winner has been nothing short of sensational in the ball-striking metrics, having gained AT LEAST 6.9 strokes (nice) in that category in each of his last three starts.
It's been a mixed bag for Berger at Colonial CC since his win in 2020, finishing T20 in 2021, T23 in 2022, and T45 in his most recent start last year. But he regularly gains strokes from tee to green here, popping for over 3.5 strokes in three of his past four outings, and there's no reason to believe that will change this week. Berger has gained over four strokes from tee to green in five of his last seven starts and hasn't dropped strokes to the field in that category all season.
Berger has been on the cusp of getting back in the winner's circle for a while now, and there are few better spots on the schedule for him to get it done than Fort Worth. I'm all aboard at 22/1 odds on a track he's gotten it done before. FWIW, he's also listed at 16/1 without Scottie Scheffler in some markets.
Si Woo Kim (+5000 Bet365 Enhanced Win)
Si Woo Kim has found something in his game over the past two months, as he's rattled off four top-20 results in five starts dating back to the RBC Heritage in late April. Shorter, accuracy-based golf courses have always suited Si Woo the best, and it's no surprise his four PGA Tour wins have come at TPC Sawgrass, Sedgefield CC, Waialae CC, and the Pete Dye Stadium Course. He'll face a similar setup this week in Fort Worth, and 50/1 odds feel more than fair against this top-heavy field.
Even though Si Woo's history at Colonial CC is downright dreadful, with only one finish inside the top 30 and four missed cuts in eight appearances, this is the outright market we're betting in. Second place pays just as much as dead last, and there's no denying Si Woo's winning upside. He's one of the few players I believe can contend with Scottie Scheffler, even though that didn't go too well for him on Saturday at Quail Hollow. He's still finished T8 at the RBC Heritage, T17 at the Truist Championship, and T8 at the PGA Championship against the top fields in the sport, and he had a chance to win all three tournaments going into the weekend.
Among all players in the field, Si Woo ranks 4th in SG: Approach, 5th in Fairways Gained, 18th in Greens Gained, 20th in Proximity 125-150 Yards, 27th in Proximity 150-175 Yards, and 38th in Bogey Avoidance over the past 24 rounds. The 29-year-old South Korean has excelled from tee to green during his hot stretch, having gained over three strokes in four of his past five events.
The one knack on Si Woo throughout his career has been his issues with the putter, but he's picked up his play with the flat stick recently, popping for 6.8 strokes last week in Charlotte and 3.3 strokes at Harbour Town. With promising signs on the greens and a handful of close calls in contention in the past few weeks, I'm jumping back aboard the Si Woo train for the first time in ages.
LONG SHOT PICKS
Mackenzie Hughes (+7500 Bet365 Enhanced)
Mackenzie Hughes quietly has three top-10 finishes over his past five starts and nearly won an alternate event a few weeks ago at the Myrtle Beach Classic. The 34-year-old Canadian held a one-shot lead going to the 72nd hole, only to make a costly bogey and lose to Ryan Fox in a playoff. Ouch. While the scar tissue from that grueling defeat could still be prevalent, I believe Hughes is the type of grizzled veteran to take this in stride and benefit from it on a course he finished T8 at in 2019.
Hughes is known best for his prolific short game, and he's been dynamite in that aspect so far in 2025. Among all players in the field, Hughes ranks 3rd in Bogey Avoidance, 8th in Fast Greens, 9th in Bonus Putting, 15th in Scrambling, and 24th in SG: Putting (Bentgrass) over the past 24 rounds. The short-game prowess was also at the forefront of his T8 result here in 2019, gaining 2.9 strokes around the green and 3.2 strokes with the putter.
Not only has Hughes been excellent around the greens and with the flat stick this season, but he's made noteworthy strides in the ball-striking categories. Hughes has gained strokes off the tee in four of his past five measured starts, and it's also worth mentioning he gained 2.4 strokes with his irons at the RBC Heritage against the top players on Tour in late April. Over the past 24 rounds, he ranks 20th in Greens Gained and 21st in Fairways Gained among all players in the field.
Throughout his career, Hughes has fared best at the shorter, accuracy-based setups, hence his lone PGA Tour win (and two other runner-up finishes) coming at the RSM Classic. Hughes also finished second at PGA National in 2020, T3 at Innisbrook in 2024, and T3 at Harbour Town this year, which are all comp courses I'm looking at this week. With his game seemingly in form at the moment, I think 75/1 odds are more than fair for Hughes' chances on this style of golf course.
Cameron Davis (+12000 FanDuel)
Cameron Davis is one of the most volatile players on the PGA Tour, with five top-20 finishes and six missed cuts in 14 starts this season. There's no telling what kind of performance we'll get this week in Texas. But coming off a T19 at the PGA Championship, where he gained strokes to the field in all four categories, I think 120/1 odds are too large for a player who's won twice on the circuit.
Three of Davis' five top-20 results in 2025 have come at courses where distance from off the tee isn't required to contend for the trophy, finishing T18 at The American Express, T5 at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, and T13 at the RBC Heritage. It's not surprising that Davis finished T7 here in 2022, where he also gained strokes in all four categories.
As mentioned earlier, there hasn't been much consistency in Davis' game in 2025, which makes him hard to project. However, he's been reliable in the short-game categories over the past month, having gained strokes around the green in four consecutive starts and with the putter in three of his last five. It's also worth mentioning Davis has gained at least 2.5 strokes ball striking in two of his past three trips to Colonial CC.
Outside of his T7 finish in 2022, it's been tough sledding for Davis in Fort Worth, with no finish better than 45th in his four other appearances. But I believe this should be a solid setup for Davis' skill set, and he's been known to pop out of nowhere in his career. I'm willing to take a chance at 120/1 odds this week.
2025 BETTING BREAKDOWN
FIVE OUTRIGHT WINNERS IN 19 EVENTS (+20.84 UNITS)
THE AMERICAN EXPRESS - SEPP STRAKA - 60/1
THE GENESIS INVITATIONAL - LUDVIG ABERG - 25/1
HOUSTON OPEN - MIN WOO LEE - 37/1
THE MASTERS - RORY MCILROY - 7.5/1
TRUIST CHAMPIONSHIP - SEPP STRAKA - 48/1
*All statistics from the PGA Tour website or RickRunGood.com*
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TODAY'S BEST
Another team reportedly dropped from Mitch Marner's list, per Chris Johnston
It certainly appears as though Mitch Marner will not be re-signing with the Maple Leafs this summer, and now the Los Angeles Kings, one of the teams in on him have reportedly dropped out of the sweepstakes according to one NHL insider. Mitch Marner is the biggest name available in free agency this summer. The 28-year-old is one of the top playmaking wingers in the NHL as he has amassed 520 career assists as well as 221 goals in just 657 career regular-season games. Of course, like many other Maple Leafs players, his production in the playoffs has been a different story with just 62 career points in 70 playoff contests. Regardless, if he were to re-sign with Toronto, that deal likely would have been finalized by now. Naturally, just about every contending team will be at least somewhat interested in adding Marner to their lineup, even the Dallas Stars, despite their salary-cap limitations. That being said, one Western Conference contender is apparently out on Marner after showing interest in him in recent weeks. According to trusted NHL insider Chris Johnston, the Kings are not a destination Marner himself is truly interested in exploring. The Kings have put together several strong regular seasons in a row, but much like the Maple Leafs, they have struggled to get past the first round in the playoffs. Unlike Toronto, though, L.A. has had to deal with Connor McDavid's Oilers in the first round in each of the past three seasons, so the Kings have certainly had their fair share of bad luck when it comes to first-round matchups. With L.A. out on Marner that leaves the Vegas Golden Knights, Carolina Hurricanes and Dallas Stars as the top contenders left that have shown interest in him. Of the three, the Hurricanes would certainly seem like the best fit as they have the most cap room to work with.
Raptors have reportedly offered package for Celtics star Derrick White
As the first round of the 2025 NBA Draft approaches, the Toronto Raptors have reportedly offered a trade package for Boston Celtics point guard Derrick White. The Raptors have the No. 9 overall pick in the first round of the draft that begins on Wednesday at 5 p.m. PT. NBA insider Brett Siegel said the Raptors’ trade package for the Celtics includes giving up the earlier pick in exchange for White. Siegel said the offer would be part of a larger, multi-team trade. The Celtics have the No. 28 pick in the first round of the draft, which is the third-to-last pick of all NBA teams. Boston recently traded center Kristaps Porzingis to the Atlanta Hawks and point guard Jrue Holiday to the Portland Trail Blazers, which placed them about $4.5 million below their second apron. The trades also saved the Celtics $28 million in salaries and nearly $200 million in luxury taxes. Although the trades have given the Celtics more financial flexibility to bolster their roster, the absence of Porzingis and Holiday will be difficult to fill. Additionally, forward Jayson Tatum is expected to miss all of next season while he recovers from surgery to repair the Achilles tendon he tore during the playoffs. If the Celtics were to agree to the trade offer from the Raptors, Boston could acquire another talented player through the draft. The Celtics gave White a four-year, $118 million contract extension after winning the NBA championship in 2024. White averaged 13.8 points, 4.8 rebounds, 2.6 assists and 1.2 steals throughout Boston’s championship run. Trading White would alleviate some of the financial burden of his contract, increasing the Celtics’ financial flexibility this offseason. White, along with shooting guard Jaylen Brown, has received a lot of attention in the trade market this offseason. The Celtics have expressed they do not want to trade either player, but Boston could change their mind as the offseason progresses. The Celtics acquired White in a trade with the San Antonio Spurs in February 2022 and may part ways with the two-time All-Defensive Second Team selection in the same fashion.
Raptors-Nets RJ Barrett Trade Report Drops on Tuesday
RJ Barrett emerged as the Toronto Raptors' top performer this past season, averaging 21.1 points, 6.3 rebounds, and 5.4 assists per game. Since arriving in a midseason trade from the New York Knicks, Barrett quickly became a go-to scoring option for Toronto and often carried the offensive load. Despite his efforts, the Raptors finished 11th in the East with a 30-52 record and missed the playoffs for a third straight year, but now hold the 9th overall pick in the upcoming NBA Draft. Looking to return to contention next season, Toronto is building a new core around Brandon Ingram, whom they recently acquired in a blockbuster deal with the New Orleans Pelicans. However, that ambition may now come at the cost of one of their most consistent players. According to NBA insider Brett Siegel, a potential trade between Toronto and the Brooklyn Nets is looming—a deal that would likely send Barrett and the 9th pick to Brooklyn. No other details have yet been confirmed, but the talks are reportedly gaining traction. Siegel wrote, "Is there a potential trade brewing between the Nets and Raptors that could see Barrett and the ninth pick go to Brooklyn? This is something many around the league are keeping an eye on, as there is no guarantee Toronto will keep the ninth pick in this year's draft." On paper, the move could work well for both teams. The Nets, in the midst of a reset, would gain a young, reliable scorer in Barrett and a top-10 pick to further their rebuild. For Toronto, it’s a chance to clear cap space and potentially gain a win-now piece to pair with Scottie Barnes and Ingram as they eye a postseason return. Since arriving from New York in the OG Anunoby trade, Barrett has embraced a lead role and impressed with his improved efficiency. While he’s beloved by many in Canada as a native son, the Raptors appear ready to make bold moves—leaving Barrett’s future with the team very much in doubt.
Report: Lakers Contacted Heat About Potential All-Star Trade
Everyone around the NBA knows that the Los Angeles Lakers need a center as the offseason gets going. However, the Lakers do have more needs that the front office needs to address across the roster. One of those needs is along the wing, and the Lakers have been rumored to be looking to add more talent. Los Angeles is likely to retain Dorian Finney-Smith, but they also need more help. A name that has started to circulate around the Lakers is veteran wing Andrew Wiggins of the Miami Heat. Wiggins could check a lot of boxes for the Lakers, and it seems that the team could be interested in landing him. Lakers insider Anthony Irwin reported that Los Angeles has checked in on Wiggins with Miami. Irwin mentioned that the contract situation could make things tough, but it seems that the Lakers are doing their due diligence. "Wiggins... have I heard of any interest in him? I think right now the Lakers are interested in any athlete," Irwin began on the Lakers Lounge. "Now Wiggins does make a little too much money for my liking. $28 million is a lot for Andrew Wiggins. I would imagine they are very well in tune with what Pat thinks of Andrew Wiggins, but the Lakers have checked in on him and asked about what the price would be." Adding a player like Wiggins could help the Lakers, especially on the defensive side of the ball. While he isn't the same level of defender that he once was, Wiggins is much more skilled defensively than Rui Hachimura. In 17 games with the Heat this season, Wiggins averaged 19.0 points, 4.2 rebounds, 3.3 assists, and 1.2 steals per game. Los Angeles would likely need to send a decent amount out to land Wiggins, but it could be worth it. If the Lakers are looking to address the center position with a "stop-gap" type of player, the front office could look to land Wiggins as the big move. Adding him to a team with Luka Doncic and LeBron James could make the Lakers much more formidable, giving them a better chance to win a title next season.
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